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"Huge Puzzle…On A Planet Where We Thought We Know Everything"

NASA Finds Shrimp Beneath Antarctica Ice – 600 Feet Below Antarctic Ice Where Nothing Complex Should Live, NASA Catches A Curious Shrimp

Of course this will soon to be shown to mean scientists have grossly overestimated the amount of CO2 in the past, that it’s worse than we thought, and that climate change is pushing curious shrimps and foot-long jellyfish on the edge of extinction.

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“It’s pretty amazing when you find a huge puzzle like that on a planet where we thought we know everything,” Kim said.

Sounds like Kim has never asked a question and got the answer ‘We don’t know’.
Or perhaps Kim just does not have an inquiring mind.

According to Kevin Trenberth (NCAR, Boulder, CO), who, it was revealed in the Climategate emails, says that it is a ‘travesty’ that climatologists can’t account for the last decade of stable temperatures, produced a report on February 8, 2010, ‘Tracking Earth’s energy: From El Niño to global warming’. Here he documents that a huge amount of energy and energy flux has gone ‘missing’ since 2000. As of 2009 it was equivalent to a forcing of 1.6 W/sq.m, which is of order of the supposed anthropogenic CO2 component. If the anthropogenic component were assumed zero in the models, however, the ‘lost energy flux’ and ‘missing energy’ would simply vanish, of course.

The one sentence summary in the report states: ‘Tracking the flow of energy through the climate system is important but remains a challenge.’ For ‘challenge’ read ‘mystery’.

Trenberth writes:

“How can we understand whether the strong cold outbreaks of December 2009 are simply a natural weather phenomenon, as they seem to be, or are part of some mysterious change in clouds or pollution..?”

“…although some heat has gone into the record breaking loss of Arctic sea ice…it does not add up to be anywhere near enough to account for the measured TOA [top of atmosphere] energy. Closure of the energy budget over the past 5 years is elusive. Thus state-of-the-art observations are unable to fully account for recent energy variability implying error bars too large to make the products useful.”

Oh dear – we haven’t a clue what’s going on.
With reference to coloured traces on a figure:

“After 2000, observations from TOA (black) referenced to the 2000 values, show an increasing discrepancy (gold) relative to the total warming observed (red). The quiet sun changes in total solar irradiance reduce the net heating slightly (purple) but a large energy component is missing (gold).”

It’s now known that for at least 5 years climatologists have been unable to account for the ‘missing energy’ or be able to ‘balance the energy budget’. And year by year the discrepancy is getting worse. Any claims that ‘the science is settled’ or that projections can be made based on climate models are now seen to be complete lies.

Of course, Trenberth’s paper is just angling for continued funding: we don’t know what we thought we knew, and this could be even more serious, so send even more tax dollars so that we can keep tracking down the elusive energy (that we dreamed up) we can’t account for. Maybe it’s ‘Dark Energy’ (I jest).

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