Categories
AGW Data Omniclimate Science

Joe Bastardi: Love the Weather, Hate the Climate (Models)

From “Today, We Have “Gods” Walking Among Us That Know The Future, Armed With Idols Known as Models“, by Joe Bastardi, Meteorologist at Accuweather.com

To those who want this debate shut down, it seems to me that you simply wish to run away from discussing what you don’t have the facts to fight. Or do you have other reasons, perhaps unrelated to the issue of climate change […]

Instead of confronting cold, hard facts with open and free debate to try to get to the right answer, we have a group of people that know better and will use future projections of a model as fact. And I ask how can it even be allowed to assume that a model knows the answer?
This is not just a problem of prediction – who is right and who is wrong. It is bad for democracy and bad for science, too. And it can ruin the lives of many through the turmoil it can cause in unintended results.
And what about those models. Has anyone in the media paid attention to how how bad the forecasts of the last El Nino and the La Nina have been? […]

Why the model bust? It is because most of these climate models have little or no ability to foresee regime changes in the oceans short and long term. It should be a warning shot to climate modelers that their longer term climate models are clueless as to the parameters predicted. In the end, it may be ice, not fire, that is the problem. As this powerful La Nina could be the sign of the regime change back to cool like the one in 1949/50 […]

My fondest hope is that you take this in the spirit I am writing it. The weather is calling you to get involved in this argument for the sake of yourselves and the sake of your children. You must look at all the ideas to make your decision, not accept pat answers or answers that refuse to accept scrutiny and be tested. And I don’t ask you to believe what I say as far as what I think the answer is, no matter how much research I do. I am but a man. But do go look for yourself, at all the information, while there is still the chance to do so.

Categories
Elezioni2008 Italia Italiano Politica Storia

Dichiarazione Collettiva di Responsabilita’ Italiana

Che dite, non sarebbe un buon inizio?

Noi sottoscritti Italiani di vita e di cultura riconosciamo di:

-avere come obiettivo una felicita’facile, mai seriosa, non troppo impegnativa, non troppo faticosa” (1)

-essere capaci di tollerare di tutto e di piu’ in nome di tale felicita’: al punto da aver inventato e poi permesso non solo lo stabilirsi della dittatura fascista e l’impunita’ dei delitti come quello Matteotti, ma anche l’implementazione delle vergognosissime leggi razziali, e l’entrata in guerra per dimostrare una virilita’ del nostro regime poi rivelatosi metaforicamente eunuco

-essere anche capaci di atti di incredibile eroismo nella lotta partigiana, e di costruire fra fame e macerie una Repubblica con una Costituzione avanzatissima per i suoi tempi: ma solo dopo aver toccato il fondo e anche piu’ in giu’, dopo che “una mattina” (il 9 settembre) improvvisamente ci siamo “svegliati” e abbiamo “trovato l’invasor” (come indicato con sottile ironia nella celeberrima “Bella Ciao“)

non avere remore a piangere miseria e a lamentarci della scarsa rappresentativita’ della “Casta” dei politici: per poi acquistare in massa le TV ultrapiatte, strafregandosene della previdenza, ed eleggere senza tema di smentita quegli stessi, vituperati politici (2)

-sognare un mondo dove non occorrano regole e tutto venga risolto d’amore e d’accordo: e per quel motivo, riconosciamo di arrivare a lastricare di buone intenzioni la strada per il nostro inferno, a partire dal radicamento di mafia e affini come gruppi di mutuo soccorso contro lo Stato-nemico, passando poi per la pericolosissima ingerenza etico-episcopale nella politica, non cosi’ dissimile dal corporativismo dirigista del fascismo, per finire con il consociativismo catto-comunista degli ultimi sessanta anni che blocca ormai ogni idea e ogni riforma e trasforma la politica in una pura “spartizione della torta“. Della corruzione per un pezzo di pane e/o un panettone, siamo ormai famosi nel mondo.

-parlare infine a vanvera di liberta’ di pensiero e di opinione, nonostante appunto siamo pronti a demonizzare chi la pensi diversamente da noi quasi fossimo tutti tanti Torquemada: tanto che non e’ possibile sentire ogni opinione neanche nelle manifestazioni a favore dei diritti civili

Riconosciamo infine l’ovvieta’ che se vengono ripetute le azioni passate, e’ quasi impossibile aspettarsi risultati diversi. Un giorno forse ne trarremo le conseguenze: speriamo solo di non dover aspettare di essere “invasi da qualche ex-alleato, di nuovo.

(seguono: 60 milioni di firme)

(1) Sulle promesse del populismo italiano: Piero Ignazi, IlSole24Ore, 03/02/2008

(2) Sul contrasto fra TV ultrapiatte e previdenza: Marco Liera, IlSole24Ore, 09/12/2007

Categories
Christianity English Ethics Humanity Immigration Islam UK

Reactions to Archbishop Williams’ Sharia Remarks Reveal Depth of Islamophobia

Dr Rowan Williams, the Archbishop of Canterbury and spiritual Head of the Anglican (“Reformed Catholic”) Christian Community, has written an extremely insightful piece on “Islam and English Law“.

It is a lecture that everybody should read, as it is intelligent, thoughtful, humble, and single-handedly describes the basis for solving the Islamic Question in Western societies, once and for all.

It can also be seen as the inspiration for a re-writing of the UN’s Universal Declaration of Human Rights, making it even more universal than it is at the moment.

Dr Williams goes at great lengths to analyse the possible drawbacks of allowing people to use Islamic (but not just Islamic) Law within the framework of English (secular) Law, and offers challenges and solutions to all circumstances. He even mentions the existing settings of Inuit Law, as an example.

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I say, rarely I have seen a document more profoundly Christian, in the best possible sense of the word. And yet (or…of course!) reactions have been overwhelmingly negative!!!.

Having read those 8 pages, I can affirm without any doubt that the Office of the Prime Minister, Home Office Minister Tony McNulty, the Tories’ shadow Community Cohesion Minister Baroness Warsi, Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg, Trevor Phillips, Chairman of the Equality and Human Rights Commission and Mark Pritchard, Tory MP for the Wrekin, in Shropshire have not bothered to read Dr Williams’ lecture before opening their mouths to utter banalities.

Not to mention (of course!) the hundreds of people clamoring to repeat the same inanities. How ironic, the champions of the Rule of (Single) Law are behaving like enraged fundamentalists!

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The underlying point is that anything that sounds related to Islam is nowadays seen as something to hate. Some will object that that is the consequence of 9/11, 7/7 and al-Qaeda. I do not think so. Jews have been isolated, hated, killed for centuries and then even exterminated, and they had no murderer called Osama on their side.

It’s the “advanced” Western nations that still cannot understand how to relate to the “others”. And so we are sowing again the seeds of hell