Data IPCC Omniclimate Science

Global Warming May Be Just European

(originally published as “Global Warming May Be Just European” on Dec 11, 2007)

Readers of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report – Working Group 2 (AR4-WG2) may be forgiven to think a colossal misreading of available data may be at the foundation of contemporary Climate Change/Global Warming scares.

That report contains a map of “significant changes” (SC) already observed around the world. It is repeated throughout, and you can see it in the Summary for Policymakers, page 10, Figure SPM.1.

A total of 29,459 SCs are reported. An impressive number, at first glance.

Only, 96% of those changes regard just Europe.

The IPCC itself could not list more than 1,225 SCs not related to Europe.


This enormous geographical bias does not get better when we count how many of those SCs are actually “consistent with a warming world”.

Planet-wise, there are 26,285. Of those, 96% are in Europe. Actually, 25,022 are European SCs related to “biological systems”.

That’s 95% of the total.

That means that outside of Europe, the IPCC could not find more than 1,150 SCs “consistent with warming”.

Compare that to the number of European SCs NOT-“consistent with warming”: 3,100

We have twice as many changes that are INCONSISTENT with warming in Europe, than CONSISTENT with warming in the rest of the world.


Note also the distribution of the other “observed changes”. Only 7 for the whole of Africa, 114 for Asia, and 144 for the Polar Regions.

But what is most notable is that in the whole of North America (where, one would expect, a lot of researchers reside), only 810 SCs have been reported. Of those, 752 are consistent with warming.

That’s 3% of the total.

So for a summary: 96% from Europe. 3% with North America. Almost nothing for everywhere else.

How global can that be?

AGW Omniclimate

Spiked Online's Christmas All-Out Attack on AGW

(a) “Al Gore: enviro-tyrant” by Brendan O’Neill (Dec 18)
After Bali: In aspiring to ‘control the destiny of all generations to come’, Gore has unwittingly unveiled his anti-democratic streak

As he flies around the world to tell people that they should fly less, or organises rock-star extravaganzas to tell the masses they should live more meekly, some sceptics have asked: ‘Who the hell does Al Gore think he is?

(b) “Eco-imperialism at the Bali summit?” by James Heartfield (Dec 18) 
After Bali: Are Western powers offsetting their industrial growth by blackmailing poorer countries to foreswear development? One writer thinks so

More than most scientific questions, the state of the environment has been deeply mixed up with international rivalries. In fact, some nations seem to have politicised environmental claims as a weapon in their economic competition. CO2 emissions mirror industrial output. The agreement in Bali to limit CO2 emissions looks to me like an attempt by the Great Powers to regulate industrial competition.

(c) “Hairshirt posturing vs everyday reality” by Robert Lyons (Dec 18)
After Bali: It ended in stalemate because while everyone poses as an opponent of CO2-emitting technologies, the fact is humanity needs them.

‘It was exactly what we wanted, we are indeed very pleased. We will have now two tremendously demanding years, starting right in January.’ So said the European Union’s chief negotiator Humberto Rosa following the outline agreement forged at the UN climate change talks in Bali last weekend. But it seems quite clear that, on the substantive issues under negotiation, everyone simply agreed to disagree.

(d) “Return of the Skeptical Environmentalist” by Tony Gilland (Review, Dec 2007)
In his new book Cool It, Bjørn Lomborg shows how ‘the science’ on global warming – covering everything from polar bear extinction to the disappearance of Greenland – has been distorted and politicised

(e) “Who’s afraid of…Greenland melting?” by Rob Lyons (Dec 13) 
Rob Lyons says we should keep cool about the ongoing scare story of Greenland’s melting ice.

Death Penalty English Moratorium on Capital Punishment Politics Radical Party UN

Death Penalty Moratorium: New York Times Editorial

Newspapers are slowly waking up to the importance of the Moratorium against Death Penalty approved on Thursday, Dec 18 by the UN General Assembly. Here’s an important editorial A Pause from Death” from The New York Times (and Lining up against the death penalty” from the International Herald Tribune):

The United Nations General Assembly voted on Tuesday for a global moratorium on the death penalty. The resolution was nonbinding; its symbolic weight made barely a ripple in the news ocean of the United States, where governments’ right to kill a killer is enshrined in law and custom.

Go to The Board » But for those who have been trying to move the world away from lethal revenge as government policy, this was a milestone. The resolution failed repeatedly in the 1990s, but this time the vote was 104 to 54, with 29 nations abstaining. Progress has come in Europe and Africa. Nations like Senegal, Burundi, Gabon — even Rwanda, shamed by genocide — have decided to reject the death penalty, as official barbarism.

The United States, as usual, lined up on the other side, with Iran, China, Pakistan, Sudan and Iraq. Together this blood brotherhood accounts for more than 90 percent of the world’s executions, according to Amnesty International. These countries’ devotion to their sovereignty is rigid, as is their perverse faith in execution as a criminal deterrent and an instrument of civilized justice. But out beyond Texas, Ohio, Virginia, Myanmar, Singapore, Saudi Arabia and Zimbabwe, there are growing numbers who expect better of humanity.

Many are not nations or states but groups of regular people, organizations like the Community of Sant’Egidio, a lay Catholic movement begun in Italy whose advocacy did much to bring about this week’s successful vote in the General Assembly.

They are motivated by hope — and there is even some in the United States. The Supreme Court will soon hear debate on the cruelty of execution by lethal injection. On Monday, New Jersey became the first state in 40 years to abolish its death penalty.

That event, too, left much of this country underwhelmed. But overseas, the votes in Trenton and the United Nations were treated as glorious news. Rome continued a tradition to mark victories against capital punishment: it bathed the Colosseum, where Christians once were fed to lions, in golden light.

It is rather unfortunate that no mention has been given of the Transnational Radical Party and “Hands Off Cain“, the organizations that have initiated the whole process almost 14 years ago. But the fact that the NYT deemed it important enough to warrant an editorial, should be placate those claiming the Moratorium, as a nonbinding document, is a useless document or worse.

For other articles on the Moratorium:

(1) On the Los Angeles Times, an opinion piece “The UN’s Death Blow” by Louise Arbour, the United Nations high commissioner for human rights.

(2) On BBC News, a Special Report “UN votes for death penalty freeze” with words from the Singapore and Mexican ambassadors and the “detail” that only 51 nations still retain the right to use death penalty

(3) On Euronews (in French), an article “L’Italie s’est fortement impliquée en faveur d’un moratoire sur la peine de mort” with some background on those that have fought for the Moratorium

(4) On the Sueddeutsche Zeitung (in German), an article “Die guten Menschen von Rom” about the Community of Sant’Egidio mentioned by the New York Times’ editorial.

(5) On the Tagesenzeiger (Swiss, in German), an editorial “Ein Akt der Zivilisation” that makes the rather obvious points that dangerous criminals should be locked up, and the death penalty, whatever one thinks of it, is arrogant and archaic.

(6) The Argentinian El Mundo (in Spanish) hosts a commentary “Una victoria italiana contra la pena de muerte by the local Italian Ambassador, Stefano Ronca.

(7) In Diário Digital (in Portuguese) there is an exhaustively explanatory article “ONU: AG aprova apelo a moratória na aplicação pena de morte“, explaining the origin of the “Hands Off Cain” name.

And I am sure there’s lots more in other languages I an as yet unable to perform searches with…

Diritti Umani Diritto Internazionale Italiano New York Times ONU Politica Radicali

Moratoria Pena di Morte all’ONU: Editoriale Sul New York Times

Una Pausa dalla Morte – New York Times – 20 Dicembre 2007 
In Fila contro la Pena di MorteInternational Herald Tribune – 21 Dicembre 2007

L’Assemblea Generale dell’ONU ha votato martedì per una moratoria globale sulla pena di morte. La risoluzione e’ non-vincolante; il suo peso simbolico e’ stato a mala pena un soffio nel grande vento delle notizie negli USA, dove il diritto dei governi di uccidere chi ha ucciso e’ incastonato nella legge e nelle abitudini.

Ma per coloro che stanno cercando di allontanare il mondo dall’avere la vendetta mortale come politica governativa, quel voto e’ stato una pietra miliare. La risoluzione falli’ ripetutamente negli anni 90, ma questo volta il voto e’ stato 104-54, con 29 astenuti. Il progresso e’ venuto dall’Europa ed dall’Africa. Nazioni come il Senegal, il Burundi, il Gabon – persino il Ruanda, marchiato dalla vergogna del genocidio – hanno deciso di rigettare la pena di morte come barbarismo ufficiale.

Gli USA, come di consueto, si sono allineati dall’altra parte, con l’Iran, la Cina, il Pakistan, il Sudan e l’Irak. Questa fratellanza di sangue comprende più del 90 per cento delle esecuzioni nel mondo, secondo Amnesty International. La devozione di questi Paesi alla loro sovranita’ e’ rigida, come e’ la loro fede perversa nell’esecuzione come fattore dissuasivo dal crimine ed uno strumento di giustizia civilizzata. Ma al di la’ del Texas, dell’Ohio, della Virginia, del Myanmar, di Singapore, dell’Arabia Saudita e dello Zimbabwe, aumenta il numero di coloro che si aspettano di meglio dall’umanita’.

Molti di quelli non sono nazioni o stati ma gruppi di persone, organizzazioni come la Comunita’ di Sant’Egidio, un movimento cattolico laico cominciato in Italia il cui lavoro ha fatto molto per determinare la riuscita questa settimana del voto nell’Assemblea Generale.

Sono motivati dalla speranza – e ce n’e’ un po’ anche negli USA. La Corte Suprema si occupera’ presto del dibattito sulla crudelta’ delle esecuzioni per iniezioni letali. Lunedi’, il New Jersey e’ diventato il primo Stato USA in 40 anni ad abolire la pena di morte.

Anche quell’evento non e’ stato molto notato in questa nazione. Ma all’estero, i voti a Trenton [New Jersey] e alle Nazioni Unite sono stati considerati notizie meravigliose. Roma ha continuato una tradizione per contrassegnare le vittorie contro la punizione capitale: ha illuminato il Colosseo, dove i Cristiani una volta erano dati in pasto ai leoni, in una luce dorata.

Mancano i necessari riferimenti al Partito Radicale e a Nessuno Tocchi Caino, che hanno dato origine al tutto. Ma rimane comunque significativo che un quotidiano come il NYT (e di concerto, l’IHT che gli appartiene) dedichi un editoriale a quanto alcune anime candide continuano a sostenere essere “una vittoria inutile” se non peggio.